克隆策略

因子收益风险分析功能

1、新建AI可视化模板策略

2、模块使用

  • 从模块列表中的“用户模块”——“共享模块”中拖入“每日持仓分析”、“因子收益及风险分析”、“Brinson绩效归因”、“最近N日绩效评估”模块,并连接回测模块的输出结果

3、运行策略即可看到各模块的分析功能,本例着重展示收益风险分析功能,包含:

  • 收益率回归分析: 主动收益与被动收益占比
  • 大类因子横截面收益: 统计全市场股票最后一个月度收益在各大类因子上的暴露;
  • 大类因子收益时间序列分析:统计全市场股票每个月的月度收益在各大类因子上的暴露;
  • 投资组合大类因子横截面暴露:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度收益在各大类因子上的暴露;
  • 投资组合因子暴露序列图:统计投资组合股票每个月的月度收益在各大类因子上的暴露;
  • 投资组合大类因子横截面收益:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度在各大类因子上的收益分布;
  • 投资组合大类因子收益序列图:统计投资组合股票每个月的月度在各大类因子上的收益分布;
  • 投资组合行业因子横截面收益:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度在各行业上的收益分布;
  • 投资组合行业因子收益序列图:统计投资组合股票每个月的月度在各行业上的收益分布;
  • 大类因子风险贡献:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度数据在各大类因子上的风险暴露;
  • 大类因子风险贡献占比:统计投资组合股票统计最后一个月度数据在各大类因子上的风险暴露占比;
  • 行业风险贡献:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度数据在各行业上的风险暴露;
  • 行业风险贡献占比:统计投资组合股票最后一个月度风险数据在各行业上的风险暴露占比。

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    In [1]:
    # 本代码由可视化策略环境自动生成 2020年4月14日 17:13
    # 本代码单元只能在可视化模式下编辑。您也可以拷贝代码,粘贴到新建的代码单元或者策略,然后修改。
    
    
    # 回测引擎:初始化函数,只执行一次
    def m19_initialize_bigquant_run(context):
        # 加载预测数据
        context.ranker_prediction = context.options['data'].read_df()
    
        # 系统已经设置了默认的交易手续费和滑点,要修改手续费可使用如下函数
        context.set_commission(PerOrder(buy_cost=0.0003, sell_cost=0.0013, min_cost=5))
        # 预测数据,通过options传入进来,使用 read_df 函数,加载到内存 (DataFrame)
        # 设置买入的股票数量,这里买入预测股票列表排名靠前的5只
        stock_count = 5
        # 每只的股票的权重,如下的权重分配会使得靠前的股票分配多一点的资金,[0.339160, 0.213986, 0.169580, ..]
        context.stock_weights = T.norm([1 / math.log(i + 2) for i in range(0, stock_count)])
        # 设置每只股票占用的最大资金比例
        context.max_cash_per_instrument = 0.2
        context.options['hold_days'] = 5
    
    # 回测引擎:每日数据处理函数,每天执行一次
    def m19_handle_data_bigquant_run(context, data):
        # 按日期过滤得到今日的预测数据
        ranker_prediction = context.ranker_prediction[
            context.ranker_prediction.date == data.current_dt.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')]
    
        # 1. 资金分配
        # 平均持仓时间是hold_days,每日都将买入股票,每日预期使用 1/hold_days 的资金
        # 实际操作中,会存在一定的买入误差,所以在前hold_days天,等量使用资金;之后,尽量使用剩余资金(这里设置最多用等量的1.5倍)
        is_staging = context.trading_day_index < context.options['hold_days'] # 是否在建仓期间(前 hold_days 天)
        cash_avg = context.portfolio.portfolio_value / context.options['hold_days']
        cash_for_buy = min(context.portfolio.cash, (1 if is_staging else 1.5) * cash_avg)
        cash_for_sell = cash_avg - (context.portfolio.cash - cash_for_buy)
        positions = {e.symbol: p.amount * p.last_sale_price
                     for e, p in context.perf_tracker.position_tracker.positions.items()}
    
        # 2. 生成卖出订单:hold_days天之后才开始卖出;对持仓的股票,按机器学习算法预测的排序末位淘汰
        if not is_staging and cash_for_sell > 0:
            equities = {e.symbol: e for e, p in context.perf_tracker.position_tracker.positions.items()}
            instruments = list(reversed(list(ranker_prediction.instrument[ranker_prediction.instrument.apply(
                    lambda x: x in equities and not context.has_unfinished_sell_order(equities[x]))])))
            # print('rank order for sell %s' % instruments)
            for instrument in instruments:
                context.order_target(context.symbol(instrument), 0)
                cash_for_sell -= positions[instrument]
                if cash_for_sell <= 0:
                    break
    
        # 3. 生成买入订单:按机器学习算法预测的排序,买入前面的stock_count只股票
        buy_cash_weights = context.stock_weights
        buy_instruments = list(ranker_prediction.instrument[:len(buy_cash_weights)])
        max_cash_per_instrument = context.portfolio.portfolio_value * context.max_cash_per_instrument
        for i, instrument in enumerate(buy_instruments):
            cash = cash_for_buy * buy_cash_weights[i]
            if cash > max_cash_per_instrument - positions.get(instrument, 0):
                # 确保股票持仓量不会超过每次股票最大的占用资金量
                cash = max_cash_per_instrument - positions.get(instrument, 0)
            if cash > 0:
                context.order_value(context.symbol(instrument), cash)
    
    # 回测引擎:准备数据,只执行一次
    def m19_prepare_bigquant_run(context):
        pass
    
    
    m1 = M.instruments.v2(
        start_date='2010-01-01',
        end_date='2015-01-01',
        market='CN_STOCK_A',
        instrument_list='',
        max_count=0
    )
    
    m2 = M.advanced_auto_labeler.v2(
        instruments=m1.data,
        label_expr="""# #号开始的表示注释
    # 0. 每行一个,顺序执行,从第二个开始,可以使用label字段
    # 1. 可用数据字段见 https://bigquant.com/docs/data_history_data.html
    #   添加benchmark_前缀,可使用对应的benchmark数据
    # 2. 可用操作符和函数见 `表达式引擎 <https://bigquant.com/docs/big_expr.html>`_
    
    # 计算收益:5日收盘价(作为卖出价格)除以明日开盘价(作为买入价格)
    shift(close, -5) / shift(open, -1)
    
    # 极值处理:用1%和99%分位的值做clip
    clip(label, all_quantile(label, 0.01), all_quantile(label, 0.99))
    
    # 将分数映射到分类,这里使用20个分类
    all_wbins(label, 20)
    
    # 过滤掉一字涨停的情况 (设置label为NaN,在后续处理和训练中会忽略NaN的label)
    where(shift(high, -1) == shift(low, -1), NaN, label)
    """,
        start_date='',
        end_date='',
        benchmark='000300.SHA',
        drop_na_label=True,
        cast_label_int=True
    )
    
    m3 = M.input_features.v1(
        features="""# #号开始的表示注释
    # 多个特征,每行一个,可以包含基础特征和衍生特征
    return_5
    return_10
    return_20
    avg_amount_0/avg_amount_5
    avg_amount_5/avg_amount_20
    rank_avg_amount_0/rank_avg_amount_5
    rank_avg_amount_5/rank_avg_amount_10
    rank_return_0
    rank_return_5
    rank_return_10
    rank_return_0/rank_return_5
    rank_return_5/rank_return_10
    pe_ttm_0
    """
    )
    
    m15 = M.general_feature_extractor.v7(
        instruments=m1.data,
        features=m3.data,
        start_date='',
        end_date='',
        before_start_days=0
    )
    
    m16 = M.derived_feature_extractor.v3(
        input_data=m15.data,
        features=m3.data,
        date_col='date',
        instrument_col='instrument',
        drop_na=False,
        remove_extra_columns=False
    )
    
    m7 = M.join.v3(
        data1=m2.data,
        data2=m16.data,
        on='date,instrument',
        how='inner',
        sort=False
    )
    
    m13 = M.dropnan.v1(
        input_data=m7.data
    )
    
    m10 = M.stock_ranker_train.v6(
        training_ds=m13.data,
        features=m3.data,
        learning_algorithm='排序',
        number_of_leaves=30,
        minimum_docs_per_leaf=1000,
        number_of_trees=20,
        learning_rate=0.1,
        max_bins=1023,
        feature_fraction=1,
        data_row_fraction=1,
        ndcg_discount_base=1,
        m_lazy_run=False
    )
    
    m9 = M.instruments.v2(
        start_date=T.live_run_param('trading_date', '2017-01-01'),
        end_date=T.live_run_param('trading_date', '2017-05-30'),
        market='CN_STOCK_A',
        instrument_list='',
        max_count=0
    )
    
    m17 = M.general_feature_extractor.v7(
        instruments=m9.data,
        features=m3.data,
        start_date='',
        end_date='',
        before_start_days=0
    )
    
    m18 = M.derived_feature_extractor.v3(
        input_data=m17.data,
        features=m3.data,
        date_col='date',
        instrument_col='instrument',
        drop_na=False,
        remove_extra_columns=False
    )
    
    m14 = M.dropnan.v1(
        input_data=m18.data
    )
    
    m8 = M.stock_ranker_predict.v5(
        model=m10.model,
        data=m14.data,
        m_lazy_run=False
    )
    
    m19 = M.trade.v4(
        instruments=m9.data,
        options_data=m8.predictions,
        start_date='',
        end_date='',
        initialize=m19_initialize_bigquant_run,
        handle_data=m19_handle_data_bigquant_run,
        prepare=m19_prepare_bigquant_run,
        volume_limit=0.025,
        order_price_field_buy='open',
        order_price_field_sell='close',
        capital_base=1000000,
        auto_cancel_non_tradable_orders=True,
        data_frequency='daily',
        price_type='后复权',
        product_type='股票',
        plot_charts=True,
        backtest_only=False,
        benchmark=''
    )
    
    m23 = M.daily_position_analysis.v6(
        backtest_ds=m19.raw_perf
    )
    
    m22 = M.N_days_performance_statistics.v5(
        backtest_ds=m19.raw_perf,
        N=5
    )
    
    m4 = M.strategy_ret_risk_analysis.v1(
        backtest_ds=m19.raw_perf
    )
    
    m5 = M.Brinson.v7(
        backtest_ds=m19.raw_perf,
        benchmark='000300.HIX'
    )
    
    设置测试数据集,查看训练迭代过程的NDCG
    bigcharts-data-start/{"__type":"tabs","__id":"bigchart-35d57a35ba09463b92dfcaf21372aa34"}/bigcharts-data-end
    • 收益率5.88%
    • 年化收益率16.17%
    • 基准收益率5.15%
    • 阿尔法0.04
    • 贝塔1.06
    • 夏普比率0.59
    • 胜率0.56
    • 盈亏比1.03
    • 收益波动率26.44%
    • 信息比率0.01
    • 最大回撤13.19%
    bigcharts-data-start/{"__type":"tabs","__id":"bigchart-f21c47d515a84f9ead28d0404bf34aa2"}/bigcharts-data-end
                         最近5日策略绩效统计
    alpha                 -1.169903
    annual_return_ratio   -0.637001
    beta                   0.235343
    max_drawdown          -0.026303
    return_ratio          -0.019905
    return_volatility      0.211282
    sharp_ratio           -4.866635
    sortino               -5.339977